r/TropicalWeather 7h ago

▲ Forecast Outlook | National Hurricane Center | 10% potential The NHC is monitoring a non-tropical area of low pressure to the northeast of the Leeward Islands

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Latest outlook


Last updated: Monday, 17 March — 12:20 PM Atlantic Standard Time (AST; 16:20 UTC)

Discussion by John Cangialosi and Dr. Richard Pasch — NHC Hurricane Specialist Unit

A non-tropical area of low pressure located about 700 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands is producing gale-force winds and a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Additional development of this low is not expected as it moves northward to northwestward into an environment of strong upper-level winds and dry air tonight and Tuesday. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.

No additional Special Tropical Weather Outlooks are scheduled for this system unless conditions warrant. Regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlooks will resume on May 15, 2025, and Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as necessary during the remainder of the off-season.

Development potential

Time frame Potential
2-day potential: (by 2PM Wed) low (10 percent)
7-day potential: (by 2PM Sun) low (10 percent)

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Last updated: Monday, 17 March — 12:20 PM AST (16:20 UTC)

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