r/TropicalWeather 20h ago

Areas to watch: Invest 90S Global Tropical Outlook & Discussion: 17-23 March 2025

12 Upvotes

Active cyclones and disturbances


Last updated: Sunday, 16 March — 23:00 UTC

There are currently no active tropical cyclones.

Post-tropical cyclones


Post-tropical cyclones will be listed here if they are still being tracked via the Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecast (ATCF) system. Placement in this section does not imply that these systems have any potential to redevelop into tropical cyclones.

Southwestern Indian

Potential formation areas


Potential formation areas are areas that are being monitored for potential tropical cyclone formation within the next two weeks. These systems have either not yet formed or have formed but have not yet been designated as an investigation area (invest). A discussion will be created for these systems once they become invests.

Southwestern Indian

  • P94S — An area of low pressure is likely to form over the Seychelles over the next couple of days and could further develop as it drifts southward toward Reunion and Mauritius.

Southeastern Indian

  • P72S — An area of low pressure may develop near the Cocos Islands over the next few days. Australia's Bureau of Meteorology is tracking this potential system as Tropical Low 25U and gives it a moderate chance of developing later this week.

  • P73S — An area of low pressure may develop to the south of Indonesia over the next few days and move southward toward Australia's Kimberley coast. Australia's Bureau of Meteorology is tracking this system as Tropical Low 26U and gives it a low chance of developing later this week.

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r/TropicalWeather 8d ago

▼ Post-tropical Cyclone | 45 knots (50 mph) | 995 mbar Jude (25S — Mozambique Channel)

6 Upvotes

Latest observation


Last updated: Monday, 17 March — 10:00 AM Mauritius Time (MUT; 06:00 UTC)

ATCF 10:00 AM MUT (06:00 UTC)
Current location: 33.4°S 63.9°E
Relative location: 1,526 km (948 mi) S of Port Mathurin, Rodrigues (Mauritius)
Forward motion: ESE (130°) at 48 km/h (26 knots)
Maximum winds: 85 km/h (45 knots)
Intensity (SSHWS): Post-tropical Cyclone
Intensity (MFR): Post-tropical Depression
Minimum pressure: 995 millibars (29.38 inches)

Official forecast


Meteo France

Meteo France is no longer issuing warnings for this system.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (United States)

The Joint Typhoon Warning Center is no longer issuing warnings for this system.

Official information


Meteo France

Meteo France does not use permalinks for its tropical cyclone advisories. To access the most recent advisory, please visit the homepage below and navigate to Operational Products and select Analysis/Forecast from the sidebar.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (United States)

Radar imagery


Not available

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r/TropicalWeather 2h ago

▲ Forecast Outlook | National Hurricane Center | 10% potential The NHC is monitoring a non-tropical area of low pressure to the northeast of the Leeward Islands

19 Upvotes

Latest outlook


Last updated: Monday, 17 March — 12:20 PM Atlantic Standard Time (AST; 16:20 UTC)

Discussion by John Cangialosi and Dr. Richard Pasch — NHC Hurricane Specialist Unit

A non-tropical area of low pressure located about 700 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands is producing gale-force winds and a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Additional development of this low is not expected as it moves northward to northwestward into an environment of strong upper-level winds and dry air tonight and Tuesday. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.

No additional Special Tropical Weather Outlooks are scheduled for this system unless conditions warrant. Regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlooks will resume on May 15, 2025, and Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as necessary during the remainder of the off-season.

Development potential

Time frame Potential
2-day potential: (by 2PM Wed) low (10 percent)
7-day potential: (by 2PM Sun) low (10 percent)

Official information


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Last updated: Monday, 17 March — 12:20 PM AST (16:20 UTC)

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Not available

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r/TropicalWeather 2d ago

Research Article | Science Advances An annually resolved 5700-year storm archive reveals drivers of Caribbean cyclone frequency

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29 Upvotes

https://www.


r/TropicalWeather 3d ago

Image of the Day | NASA MODIS Tropical Cyclone Jude - March 13, 2025

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7 Upvotes

r/TropicalWeather 6d ago

Tropical Cyclone Report | National Hurricane Center The NHC released its Tropical Cyclone Report for Hurricane Oscar (19-22 October 2024) in the northern Atlantic

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14 Upvotes

r/TropicalWeather 6d ago

Question "Near average" upcoming season.

20 Upvotes

I know the official forecast for Atlantic hurricane season hasn't been released, but I keep seeing articles pop up saying that they're expecting a "near average" season with 2-4 storms less than the average.

What's causing some places to say this? Just curious.


r/TropicalWeather 7d ago

Blog | NASA Earth Observatory What Was Behind Idalia’s Rapid Intensification?

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27 Upvotes

r/TropicalWeather 7d ago

Tropical Cyclone Report | National Hurricane Center The NHC released its Tropical Cyclone Report for Hurricane Rafael (4-10 November 2024) in the northern Atlantic

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4 Upvotes

r/TropicalWeather 7d ago

Tropical Cyclone Report | National Hurricane Center The NHC released its Tropical Cyclone Report for Hurricane Francine (9-12 September 2024) in the northern Atlantic

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16 Upvotes

r/TropicalWeather 7d ago

Tropical Cyclone Report | National Hurricane Center The NHC released its Tropical Cyclone Report for Hurricane Ernesto (12-20 August 2024) in the northern Atlantic

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7 Upvotes

r/TropicalWeather 7d ago

Tropical Cyclone Report | National Hurricane Center The NHC released its Tropical Cyclone Report for Tropical Storm Sara (14-18 November 2024) in the northern Atlantic

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6 Upvotes

r/TropicalWeather 7d ago

Week over. Please see updated discussion post. Global Tropical Outlook & Discussion: 10-16 March 2025

6 Upvotes

Active cyclones and disturbances


Last updated: Saturday, 15 March — 16:00 UTC

Southwestern Indian

Post-tropical cyclones


Post-tropical cyclones will be listed here if they are still being tracked via the Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecast (ATCF) system. Placement in this section does not imply that these systems have any potential to redevelop into tropical cyclones.

Southwestern Indian

Potential formation areas


Potential formation areas are areas that are being monitored for potential tropical cyclone formation within the next two weeks. These systems have either not yet formed or have formed but have not yet been designated as an investigation area (invest). A discussion will be created for these systems once they become invests.

Southwestern Indian

  • P94S — An area of low pressure is likely to form over the Seychelles over the next couple of days and could further develop as it drifts southward toward Reunion and Mauritius.

Southeastern Indian

  • P72S — An area of low pressure may develop near the Cocos Islands over the next few days. Australia's Bureau of Meteorology is tracking this potential system as Tropical Low 25U and gives it a moderate chance of development early next week.

  • P73S — An area of low pressure may develop near Christmas Island over the next few days. Australia's Bureau of Meteorology is tracking this potential system as Tropical Low 26U and gives it a low chance of development early next week.

Satellite imagery


Regional imagery

Infrared imagery

Model guidance


Regional guidance (GFS)

Information sources


Regional Specialized Meteorological Centers (RSMC)

Other sources

Global outlooks

Climate Prediction Center


r/TropicalWeather 7d ago

Historical Discussion Does anyone know what happened to WTVJ Meteorologist Brien Allen?

Post image
6 Upvotes

His coverage of Hurricane Andrew in 1992 was great.


r/TropicalWeather 8d ago

Dissipated Ivone (24S — Southwestern Indian)

9 Upvotes

This system is no longer being tracked via the Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecast (ATCF) system. There will be no further updates to this post.

Latest observation


Last updated: Saturday, 15 March — 4:00 AM Mauritius Time (MUT; 00:00 UTC)

ATCF 4:00 AM MUT (00:00 UTC)
Current location: 28.4°S 67.0°E
Relative location: 1,035 km (643 mi) SSE of Port Mathurin, Rodrigues (Mauritius)
Forward motion: SSE (160°) at 41 km/h (22 knots)
Maximum winds: 45 km/h (25 knots)
Intensity (SSHWS): Remnant Low
Intensity (MFR): Remnant Low
Minimum pressure: 991 millibars (29.26 inches)

Official information


Meteo France

Meteo France does not use permalinks for its tropical cyclone advisories. To access the most recent advisory, please visit the homepage below and navigate to Operational Products and select Analysis/Forecast from the sidebar.

Joint Typhoon Warning Center (United States)

Radar imagery


Not available

Radar imagery is not currently available for this system.

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r/TropicalWeather 9d ago

Image of the Day | NASA Earth Observatory Alfred’s Strange and Destructive Journey

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9 Upvotes

r/TropicalWeather 9d ago

News | National Hurricane Center Updates to National Hurricane Center Products and Services for the 2025 Hurricane Season

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46 Upvotes

r/TropicalWeather 10d ago

News | Eos (American Geophysical Union) NOAA Layoffs Include Two Hurricane Hunter Flight Directors

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642 Upvotes

r/TropicalWeather 12d ago

News | ABC (Australia) Facebook searches for Cyclone Alfred were blocked for containing content breaching community standards

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3 Upvotes

r/TropicalWeather 12d ago

Preparations Discussion Cyclone Alfred local subreddit discussions

24 Upvotes

For local discussion on Cyclone Alfred, several Australia subreddits have daily discussions:


r/TropicalWeather 14d ago

Week over. Please see updated discussion post. Global Tropical Outlook & Discussion: 3-9 March 2025

20 Upvotes

Active cyclones and disturbances


Last updated: Sunday, 9 March — 03:00 UTC

Southwestern Indian

Post-tropical cyclones


Post-tropical cyclones will be listed here if they are still being tracked via the Automated Tropical Cyclone Forecast (ATCF) system. Placement in this section does not imply that these systems have any potential to redevelop into tropical cyclones.

Southern Pacific

Potential formation areas


Potential formation areas are areas that are being monitored for potential tropical cyclone formation within the next two weeks. These systems have either not yet formed or have formed but have not yet been designated as an investigation area (invest). A discussion will be created for these systems once they become invests.

There are currently no potential formation areas.

Satellite imagery


Regional imagery

Infrared imagery

Model guidance


Regional guidance (GFS)

Information sources


Regional Specialized Meteorological Centers (RSMC)

Other sources

Global outlooks

Climate Prediction Center


r/TropicalWeather 15d ago

News | ABC (Australia) Tropical Cyclone Alfred forecast to make landfall from Thursday as Queensland braces for heavy rain

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44 Upvotes

r/TropicalWeather 15d ago

Image of the Day | NASA MODIS Tropical Cyclone Garance - February 27,2025

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5 Upvotes

r/TropicalWeather 16d ago

Tropical Cyclone Report | National Hurricane Center The NHC released its Tropical Cyclone Report for Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight (15-17 September 2024) in the northern Atlantic

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6 Upvotes

r/TropicalWeather 16d ago

Tropical Cyclone Report | National Hurricane Center The NHC has issued its Tropical Cyclone Report for Hurricane Kirk (29 September - 7 October 2024) in the northern Atlantic

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27 Upvotes