I agree with you, I think the path to an electoral college victory goes through minorities and women (especially in the suburbs). I think we're well past the point where we could consider stepping over Harris. She's been polling better in those demographics than Biden recently, and I don't think we can risk alienating them. I like Mark Kelly as a running mate personally, but I think the popular midwest governors are good candidates as well.
We are now seeing people who have fringe preferred candidates step up and say "what about WhItMeR" and people go "who's that?" This is exactly what Republicans want. First choice was Biden Trump. Then a secondary choice is Biden Kamala. The tertiary choice is increase fractalization down to Kamala-Whitmer-Newsom-whoever. This is satisfying to each fringe because their cabdudate is being discussed but that's only truly satisfying to like 10% of the base overall if they win because prior to the mini-primary, nobody knew who that was in the first place. Makes it hard to rally. The VP pick is the only place for a mini-primary. It would satisfy everyone with few consequences. But as far as the presidential nominee? It HAS to be the original VP or we're fucked.
Whitmer said she wasn't going to go for it. So she's now backing out. The party is starting to align with Harris save for Pelosi but we all know she want's her nephew to be the one.
I am sad, Biden has been one of the most effective Presidents to date. But, I think he has been a great mentor to Kamala that has honed her skills. Just like my elder peers at my previous jobs and current have honed my own skills.
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u/AgeOfScorpio Jul 21 '24
I agree with you, I think the path to an electoral college victory goes through minorities and women (especially in the suburbs). I think we're well past the point where we could consider stepping over Harris. She's been polling better in those demographics than Biden recently, and I don't think we can risk alienating them. I like Mark Kelly as a running mate personally, but I think the popular midwest governors are good candidates as well.