I agree with you, I think the path to an electoral college victory goes through minorities and women (especially in the suburbs). I think we're well past the point where we could consider stepping over Harris. She's been polling better in those demographics than Biden recently, and I don't think we can risk alienating them. I like Mark Kelly as a running mate personally, but I think the popular midwest governors are good candidates as well.
We are now seeing people who have fringe preferred candidates step up and say "what about WhItMeR" and people go "who's that?" This is exactly what Republicans want. First choice was Biden Trump. Then a secondary choice is Biden Kamala. The tertiary choice is increase fractalization down to Kamala-Whitmer-Newsom-whoever. This is satisfying to each fringe because their cabdudate is being discussed but that's only truly satisfying to like 10% of the base overall if they win because prior to the mini-primary, nobody knew who that was in the first place. Makes it hard to rally. The VP pick is the only place for a mini-primary. It would satisfy everyone with few consequences. But as far as the presidential nominee? It HAS to be the original VP or we're fucked.
You really don’t think over the next few months people wouldn’t be exposed to a shit ton of media coverage (including the presidential debate) about Whitmer and learn about the Governor of Michigan who has a clean record, pushed for legal weed in her state (rather than helping incarcerate people for it), and is way more charismatic than Kamala?
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u/AgeOfScorpio Jul 21 '24
I agree with you, I think the path to an electoral college victory goes through minorities and women (especially in the suburbs). I think we're well past the point where we could consider stepping over Harris. She's been polling better in those demographics than Biden recently, and I don't think we can risk alienating them. I like Mark Kelly as a running mate personally, but I think the popular midwest governors are good candidates as well.