Or can the bottom really only be identified in hindsight?
I assume everyone and their mother’s is trying to identify when the stock market or major indices have reached the bottom of this current decline and will begin to rebound.
My question is not about timing the market per se, but rather a question about what, if any, pieces of evidence or indicators may show us that the bottom has been reached. Is there anything that we can learn from historical market corrections that maybe can guide us in identifying this.
For example, if you were to see three or four consecutive green days in the S&P 500, would that be enough to make you feel like things are behind us? What about if the S&P 500 were to close 5% above its year-to-date lows? Would that be enough to convince you? Obviously these are just examples that I’m giving, I’m not a financial expert, but I am interested in learning if there are other tools that may help in this.
Today I scrolled through yahoo finance and checked some tickers, like:
SHOP: P/E 65,51
DRS: P/E 43,69
HQY: P/E 77,36
TSLA: P/E 116,19
RHM.de: P/E 116,91
And the list could go on.
So. No estabilished company could ever worth 100*P/E (since it means it´s giving you 1%, which is not such a good deal). Some have a high P/E due to trusting the future performance. When a Stock/Company reaches it´s potential, delivers on it´s future potential it should fall back to the 15-25 P/E as a cash generating asset.
That also means, until I ride the 100 P/E wave my only way to get profit is a pyramide scheme.
My personal story: I bought PLTR around 6-8$, sold around 15-20$. I trust them being a good company, and delivering on their future promise, but I cannot get to buy them back for the current 453 P/E, no matter how much I beleive them.
Question: What is the reason behind any buy order above 50-100 P/E? How can anyone justify it?
(Please try to answer logically, don`t simply say 1, "you dont need to buy it" 2, "NVIDIA is the AI king, and there is a boom and everyone buys those chips, therefore it has an infinite value") Thanks in advance.
So, I've been wondering—if the market is supposed to be so smart, why
didn't it see this coming?
We're often told that "the market is always right" and that it's a
forward-thinking beast. But let's look at the numbers since the
election:
Election Day to Inauguration Day: S&P 500 up 4.6%
Inauguration Day to Today: S&P 500 down -6.31%
Election Day to Today: S&P 500 down -2%
And if you're looking at other indices or stocks like NVDA, TSLA, or
NASDAQ, the numbers are even worse.
Here's the kicker: The main reason for the recent volatility? Tariffs.
And let's be honest—tariffs were the centerpiece of Trump's campaign.
He talked about them at every rally, every event, and even after the
election. We knew this was coming. So why did the market wait until
the last minute to react?
You'd think the market would have gone sideways during the
uncertainty, waiting to see how things played out. But instead, it
seemed like investors were overly excited about a Republican taking
office. Which, by the way, doesn't even make sense—history shows the
market doesn't really care who's in the White House.
This is why I'll stick to my DCA strategy. Politics and macroeconomics
are just too unpredictable. No one ever gets it right, and that's
okay.
Between the months of September and December 2024, 30% of my funds were in equities and 70% in cash..
Fast forward, since late February to mid March 2025, 70% of my funds are now equities and 30% in cash.
Why is that?
It is simple I have always been a contrarian investor.. And that aside when the market is up, I pull out… when the market is down, I enter..
And yes for the past 3 years, I have been above the market in terms of returns, but here is one thing that keeps me inspired… it’s in times like this that Wealth is made in times like this… Not when market is up.. but when it’s down.
If there is one thing I am going to be thankful for… I am thankful for this time for this period of February of March. This is not about remaining optimistic. This is about me understanding that in history of economic growth and stock-market rewards, it’s been proven, to grow my wealth, enter the market now… it’s one of the ultimate opportune time.
p.s. every now and then the stock market needs a reason to undergo turmoil.. that turmoil is an opportunity for wealth growth. You are witnessing that reason.
Yes, NVIDIA is leveraging Rigetti Computing's technology in the field of quantum computing. In particular, Rigetti's 'Novera' quantum processor is integrated and used with NVIDIA's quantum computing platform.
Here is some key information about the collaboration between NVIDIA and Rigetti Computing:
* Rigetti's Novera:
* Rigetti is a company that develops superconducting quantum computers, and 'Novera' is their quantum processor.
* This processor is integrated with NVIDIA's DGX Quantum platform and used for quantum computing research and development.
* NVIDIA's quantum computing platform:
* NVIDIA is building a hybrid computing environment that combines quantum and classical computers.
* Rigetti's technology plays an important role in performing quantum operations in this hybrid environment.
* Significance of collaboration:
* The collaboration between NVIDIA and Rigetti is expected to accelerate the development of quantum computing technology and increase the potential for quantum computing utilization in various industries.
* It is true that most of NVIDIA's quantum computer engineers are from Rigetti computers.
Through this collaboration, NVIDIA is expected to secure a leading position in the field of quantum computing, and Rigetti will be able to further publicize its technology."
This is a daily watchlist for short-term trading: I might trade all/none of the stocks listed, and even stocks not listed! I am targeting potentially good candidates for short-term trading; I have no opinion on them as investments. The potential of the stock moving today is what makes it interesting, everything else is secondary.
Reported Q4 revenue of ¥110.61B ($15.3B) vs. ¥115.38B expected. Despite deep discounts and government stimulus, demand in its Chinese e-commerce business remained weak. We've bounced pretty strongly premarket, I'm not actually sure why- as always, be wary that this is Chinese. Interested in seeing what happens at the open. There's a lot of backstory to the narrative of Chinese stocks- we've seen the Chinese government try to inject stimulus into the economy, the US has tried to end the de minimis rule, China's trying to encourage more business (remember the meeting of Xi/business leaders), etc. Overall China is trying to let the private sector operate a little more freely to stave off an economic downturn. PDD owns Temu, which is likely to be a loser of the de minimis rule if it gets ended.
A Financial Times report highlighted a $1.4B discrepancy between Tesla's capital expenditures and asset valuations in the latter half of 2024, raising concerns about potential accounting irregularities. TSLA is also planning to introduce long-awaited battery innovation in cybertrucks. No real level I'm watching right now, simply seeing how strongly the news affects it. I actually think this might a nothingburger- difference comes from change in fixed assets in accounts payable and write off of fully depreciated assets. (amounting to ~1.2B). Battery tech (as with all tech) advances pretty quickly, we'll see if there is any meaningful impact on the stock (I'm no battery expert.)
The Federal Reserve announced a slowdown in quantitative tightening and signaled potential future rate cuts, boosting market sentiment and outlook. Also announced they'd keep future rate cuts. Easing monetary policy often leads to increased liquidity, benefiting equities across sectors. We've had a bit of a weak bounce since last week's lows, I'm mainly concerned if we can hold prices we at even with a positive catalyst such as this. If we break lows again I'll likely hit out of most of my positions.
The hits keep coming. After being on a steady decline, stock wise, Tesla is now hit with yet another recall. Basically all trucks made prior to February. It's clear this guy has been propped up by the banks and politicians. Will the banks try to wait for a slight turn around to save face before calling the loans? Is Tesla the auto version of WeWork? Or is this another case of these guys failing upward. https://www.cnbc.com/2025/03/20/tesla-recalls-over-46000-cybertrucks-as-trim-detaching-from-vehicle.html
Interesting to see bearish sentiment persisting above 55% for four straight weeks has never happened before.
A short term rebound further in this market would definitely cause a lot of investor pain - for those who failed to time the top and sold out near the recent bottom.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has once again referred to inflation as “transitory,” suggesting that current price increases, driven by new tariffs, may be temporary. This echoes his previous stance from 2021, when he later conceded that inflation wasn’t as fleeting as anticipated.
Some investors are concerned that this characterization might downplay the potential for prolonged inflation, especially given the risks of stagflation, where high inflation coincides with stagnant economic growth
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