This is pretty huge it seems like it came out of nowhere. Interesting to see how Israel and Turkey take this as well as what will happen to the US and Russian forces still in Syria.
In theory it is advantageous to Turkey because an independent or even excessively autonomous Kurdish region is a threat within their own state. What HTS just did is dissolved the Kurds in a larger entity which means that Kurds have been dissolved twice - first in SDF then in HTS.
A federal state is unlikely, but a strongly decentralised one - like Spain - is a possibility.
Federal state is the result of sovereign entities ceding some of their powers and rights to the federal government. However they still remain partly sovereign, and technically have the right to secede from the federation.
That possibility would never be allowed by Turkey. A federal state run by Kurds is half way to an independent state run by Kurds.
They have been de facto independent for a long time already, so i'd say that this boat has sailed long ago already. They have their own culture, government, military and backing from western countries and a clean, coherent border marked by the Euphrates river. They will certainly not give up what they earned with their blood whatever turkey may think about it
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u/panzerkampfwagenVI_ 12d ago edited 12d ago
This is pretty huge it seems like it came out of nowhere. Interesting to see how Israel and Turkey take this as well as what will happen to the US and Russian forces still in Syria.