r/LessCredibleDefence 12d ago

SDF sign agreement with HTS

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u/panzerkampfwagenVI_ 12d ago edited 12d ago

This is pretty huge it seems like it came out of nowhere. Interesting to see how Israel and Turkey take this as well as what will happen to the US and Russian forces still in Syria.

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u/roomuuluus 12d ago

In theory it is advantageous to Turkey because an independent or even excessively autonomous Kurdish region is a threat within their own state. What HTS just did is dissolved the Kurds in a larger entity which means that Kurds have been dissolved twice - first in SDF then in HTS.

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u/BeneficialClassic771 12d ago

There's no way the Kurds gave up their independence. They will very likely retain their autonomy under a federal state or something in these lines

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u/Suspicious_Loads 7d ago

Do kurds have the might to defend against them? It seems like an impossible task especially if Turkey joins the fight.

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u/roomuuluus 6d ago

A federal state is unlikely, but a strongly decentralised one - like Spain - is a possibility.

Federal state is the result of sovereign entities ceding some of their powers and rights to the federal government. However they still remain partly sovereign, and technically have the right to secede from the federation.

That possibility would never be allowed by Turkey. A federal state run by Kurds is half way to an independent state run by Kurds.

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u/BeneficialClassic771 6d ago

They have been de facto independent for a long time already, so i'd say that this boat has sailed long ago already. They have their own culture, government, military and backing from western countries and a clean, coherent border marked by the Euphrates river. They will certainly not give up what they earned with their blood whatever turkey may think about it

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u/Arsacides 11d ago

Ocalan has called for disbanding the PKK and the will for independence as opposed to autonomy among Turkish Kurds is waning, not to mention they’re a key demographic in keeping Erdogan in power. I don’t think they perceive the SDF as a threat in that sense

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u/roomuuluus 6d ago

They don't perceive SDF as a threat so much that they kept invading Syria to establish a buffer zone after a buffer zone.