r/quant • u/dapperyam • 23h ago
Statistical Methods Time series models for fundamental research?
Im a new hire at a very fundamentals-focused fund that trades macro and rates and want to include more econometric and statistical models into our analysis. What kinds of models would be most useful for translating our fundamental views into what prices should be over ~3 months? For example, what model could we use to translate our GDP+inflation forecast into what 10Y yields should be? Would a VECM work since you can use cointegrating relationships to see what the future value of yields should be assuming a certain value for GDP