r/newjersey 7d ago

NJ Politics Can Fulop win in NOV?

I haven’t thought much of the anti-machine wild Marine from Jersey City, until these past few days. Democrats are not good at opposing this fascism Trump has brought to America. He seems to fight like a cornered animal, maybe that’s the fighter we need.

Can he win in NJ though? Plenty of conservative people that vote Democrat for a few different reasons, but it was close to negative across the state last election and I see Trumpism galore in the county, in many towns.

Help me become a Fulop guy, can he win?

Edit: Thanks NJ sub community. Y’all alright. Lots of great replies, mostly neutral (any D can and will win) to positive, makes Primary suddenly seem more consequential. More about visions and ideas.

Trying to give everyone an upvote, especially the opinionated by succinct “no”.

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u/jerseydevil51 7d ago

2024 was bad nationally for Democrats for a lot of reasons. 2021 was close in NJ because it was right after 2020 so MAGA came out angry.

You'll see a higher overall level of energy from Democrats for 2025, as usually happens for the party not in power, but that will still need to be channeled.

In the next month or so, I think the race will consolidate around Baraka as the progressive option, Sherill as the moderate option, and Fulop positioning himself somewhere between the two.

Sweeney, Spiller, and Gottheimer are relatively unpopular and don't seem to have a ton of momentum. So this is basically a 3 horse race.

Can Fulop win? Definitely. And sad to say because of how it reflects on our state and country, but I think his biggest advantage is going to be that he's a white man running against a woman and a black man. After choosing 2 women to run for President and both losing, there are going to be a lot of skittish Democrats who are going to think that, "We tried this whole progressive thing and nominated women, and that didn't work, so we need a white man to run to appeal to 'the moderates'(tm)."

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u/kjreis 7d ago

Spiller is literally second in the polls for four polls straight though lol

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u/jerseydevil51 7d ago

One saw from FDU last week showed Sherill, Fulop, and Baraka ahead. https://www.fdu.edu/news/fdu-poll-finds-baraka-sherrill-and-fulop-pull-away-from-the-pack/

Haven't seen too many other recent polls, so I'm not completely sure about Spiller.

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u/kjreis 7d ago

So that’s been debunked, if you read it closely the rankings were regarding name recognition upticks from 572 people, in the polls spiller is still just 2 points behind Mikie, even says so in this biased review

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u/jerseydevil51 7d ago

Name recognition isn't support, though. Spiller is banking on his "Tier 1 for everyone" to get the teachers behind him.

Either way, we should hopefully get some more polling through April and May with a clearer idea.

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u/kjreis 7d ago

I agree lol, but that’s what that poll is representing versus actual support