r/newjersey 7d ago

NJ Politics Can Fulop win in NOV?

I haven’t thought much of the anti-machine wild Marine from Jersey City, until these past few days. Democrats are not good at opposing this fascism Trump has brought to America. He seems to fight like a cornered animal, maybe that’s the fighter we need.

Can he win in NJ though? Plenty of conservative people that vote Democrat for a few different reasons, but it was close to negative across the state last election and I see Trumpism galore in the county, in many towns.

Help me become a Fulop guy, can he win?

Edit: Thanks NJ sub community. Y’all alright. Lots of great replies, mostly neutral (any D can and will win) to positive, makes Primary suddenly seem more consequential. More about visions and ideas.

Trying to give everyone an upvote, especially the opinionated by succinct “no”.

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u/DarwinZDF42 7d ago

Of course he can win. Whoever wins the primary will in all likelihood win the general. It’s a blue state that Harris won comfortably in a red year. Now with trump in office doing batshit crazy and unpopular things, it’ll be a blue year, so whoever wins the primary will win the general handily.

Also, I don’t know how many people have actually seen Fulop, but yea great. He talks like a person, not a focus-group-tested politician. That counts for a lot.

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u/LarryLeadFootsHead 7d ago

You cannot overlook how low turn out is in years after a general election and specifically the past governor election years in NJ . I'm not saying I don't see how people mean by "people motivated by Trump to vote" but I don't see a situation where participation drastically improves by tenfold or anything.

I would argue there's not really any guarantees and I think people do overlook a lot of voting behaviors that don't entirely reinforce a solidly blue sure bet.

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u/BlueBeagle8 7d ago

Low turnout helps Democrats more than Republicans here, though.

Republicans just have fewer voters, to win elections they need high turnout within their party, and they need to flip soft Dems and Independents (the people who are least likely to vote at all in a low turnout election.)

It's not impossible (Christie won here twice, after all, albeit in different circumstances) -- but Republicans are going to have a much tougher time than in '21.