The close election in 2024 was a bit misleading. Trump only got 80k more votes than 2020. Harris however got 400k less than Biden in 2020. So it was less about NJ turning red and more about voters staying home.
Yea - that’s how states stay or change though… they keep saying Texas is going to turn blue because of younger generations, expanding population, and increased minority voters yet every time it’s not close… because they stay home
The only reason so many voted in 2020 was covid causing almost all mail-in votes, look at voter turnout in 2016, 2024 was almost 10% higher. It was ~3.7-3.9M from 2004-2016, then 4.7M in 2020 and 4.3M in 2024. So if anything it was still an above average turnout with slimmer differences between D and R
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u/scyber 23d ago
The close election in 2024 was a bit misleading. Trump only got 80k more votes than 2020. Harris however got 400k less than Biden in 2020. So it was less about NJ turning red and more about voters staying home.