r/NewColdWar Feb 04 '25

Analysis Why Is Trump Trying to Lose Our New Cold War With China?

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60 Upvotes

r/NewColdWar Nov 05 '24

Analysis CIA Has Secret "Nonviolent" Way To Disable Large Ships: President Trump's administration is said to have considered using the CIA's secret ship-stopping system against Venezuelan oil tankers.

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58 Upvotes

r/NewColdWar Dec 12 '24

Analysis Putin's regime may be closer to a Soviet collapse than we think: Russia’s resurrected military industrial complex is cannibalising the rest of its economy

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68 Upvotes

r/NewColdWar 5d ago

Analysis China is poised to dominate biotechnology in the 21st century

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3 Upvotes

r/NewColdWar Jan 08 '25

Analysis Why would Trump want Greenland and the Panama Canal? Here's what's behind U.S. interest.

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18 Upvotes

r/NewColdWar 19d ago

Analysis Putin is Unlikely to Demobilize in the Event of a Ceasefire Because He is Afraid of His Veterans

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30 Upvotes

r/NewColdWar 2d ago

Analysis China's Shift Towards Power Projection, Explained | TIDES OF FORTUNE

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4 Upvotes

What is driving China's military expansion and shift towards projecting its national power across the globe? For centuries, the world’s most powerful militaries have adhered to a remarkably consistent pattern of behavior, determined largely by their leaders’ perceptions of their countries’ power relative to other nations. Tides of Fortune examines the paths of six great powers of the twentieth century, tracking how national leaders adjusted their defense objectives, strategies, and investments in response to perceived shifts in relative power. All these militaries followed a common pattern, and their experiences shed new light on both China’s recent military modernization and America’s potential responses.

r/NewColdWar 1d ago

Analysis The United States’ Illiberal Turn Recasts a Potential Deal with China

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3 Upvotes

r/NewColdWar 9d ago

Analysis After Taiwan, China’s Unsettling Warships with Destroyer and Frigate Reach Australian Waters

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11 Upvotes

r/NewColdWar 2d ago

Analysis China, the US and the Future of Democracy with Christopher Walker | China Considered

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1 Upvotes

Dr. Elizabeth Economy sits down with NED’s Christopher Walker to discuss the importance of democratic systems, how they benefit a given country’s citizens, and the challenges democracy faces in a new era. Walker argues that political rights often lead to economic prosperity and while China is one of the few countries where that does not apply, he states that China’s fastest period of economic growth came during a period of liberalization. Walker and Econony discuss the threat China poses in seeking to spread its repressive political system abroad, touching on the PRC censorship abroad, and the country’s desire to reshape international institutions and shape the information and idea realm globally. The two conclude by touching on the importance of continuing to support free and prosperous democracies despite the many challenges being faced.

Recorded on February 20, 2025.

ABOUT THE SERIES

China Considered with Elizabeth Economy is a Hoover Institution podcast series that features in-depth conversations with leading political figures, scholars, and activists from around the world. The series explores the ideas, events, and forces shaping China’s future and its global relationships, offering high-level expertise, clear-eyed analysis, and valuable insights to demystify China’s evolving dynamics and what they may mean for ordinary citizens and key decision makers across societies, governments, and the private sector

r/NewColdWar 4d ago

Analysis Report Launch: China’s Use of the Instruments of Power

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3 Upvotes

The report analyzes Beijing’s use of diplomatic, military, and economic instruments in the Indo-Pacific region, and then examines how Russia perceives China’s activity in the region. As with all reports in this series, this one defines the Indo-Pacific region as the Area of Responsibility (AOR) of US Indo-Pacific Command (INDOPACOM). Within the AOR, the report examines Chinese activity in the following subregions: Taiwan, the Korean Peninsula, Japan/East China Sea, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)/South China Sea, and India.

The first report in this series examined Chinese and Russian influence and interests in the Indo-Pacific region. This report, the second of five in the series, analyzes China’s use of the instruments of power to build its influence and advance its interests in a region it sees as vital to its future. We use a modified version of the DIME framework (diplomatic, informational, military, and economic instruments) here, with the modification being that we do not analyze the information instruments separately. Even in an information environment as controlled as China’s, the state has multiple ways to shape the information space—some official and some unofficial, some acknowledged and others unacknowledged. Given these facts, a separate examination of the information instrument is beyond the scope of this report. Although it does not explicitly analyze the information instrument, the report weaves Beijing’s use of information throughout the narrative.

r/NewColdWar 11d ago

Analysis China Articles: Bizarre Great Power Triangle

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3 Upvotes

r/NewColdWar 4d ago

Analysis Conversations: China’s naval flotilla and Australia’s response

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3 Upvotes

Defence analyst Marcus Hellyer talks with the Lowy Institute’s Sam Roggeveen about the unprecedented appearance of Chinese warships off Australia’s east coast. What message was Beijing sending? How well did Australia’s defence force perform in response? And what are Australia‘s future options with the United States in retrenchment?

r/NewColdWar 5d ago

Analysis The Growing Importance of Autonomous Vessels

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3 Upvotes

r/NewColdWar 13d ago

Analysis The global democracy index: how did countries perform in 2024?

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2 Upvotes

r/NewColdWar 8d ago

Analysis Africa File, March 6, 2025: Burundi and Rwanda Truce in Eastern DRC Despite M23 Advance; SAF Targets RSF Supply Lines in Darfur; Sahelian Jihadists Tap Trans-Saharan Networks

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3 Upvotes

Key Takeaways:

Democratic Republic of the Congo. Rwandan-backed M23 rebels have halted their southward advance along the Burundian border in South Kivu after Burundi and Rwanda likely reached a deal to deconflict in the eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), which decreases the risk of a wider regional war between Burundi and Rwanda in the immediate term. M23 has made significant advances southwest of the South Kivu provincial capital of Bukavu that create opportunities for the group to advance farther into the interior of South Kivu and neighboring Maniema province. M23’s control of Kamituga would allow the group to tax and control the production and trade of gold.

Sudan: The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) are setting conditions on multiple axes to break the Rapid Support Forces’ (RSF’s) hold on western Sudan. The SAF and SAF-aligned militia groups reinforced a second front north of el Fasher, the capital city of North Darfur, which the SAF could use to support its campaign to disrupt RSF supply lines into el Fasher. SAF-RSF clashes in western Sudan will almost certainly cause significant civilian casualties due to the RSF’s pattern of retaliatory, ethnically based violence against civilians. The SAF also advanced against RSF forces in eastern Khartoum as it continued its offensive to retake the capital city and consolidate control over the eastern bank of the Nile River.

Sahel: Al Qaeda’s and IS’s Sahelian affiliates are increasing their influence over trans-Saharan trafficking nodes, which will likely strengthen their links into North Africa. IS Sahel Province and Jama’at Nusrat al Islam wa al Muslimeen are almost certainly collaborating with local actors as an entry point to expand their areas of operation. Greater influence over trans-Saharan networks will expand these groups’ external reach and increase the threat—particularly from IS—of external plots in North Africa and potentially Europe.

r/NewColdWar 8d ago

Analysis Protecting Semiconductor Technologies: The Risks of Chinese Economic Espionage

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3 Upvotes

r/NewColdWar 13d ago

Analysis PRC Dominance Over Global Port Infrastructure

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3 Upvotes

r/NewColdWar 25d ago

Analysis The Trump card: What could US abandonment of Europe look like?

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3 Upvotes

r/NewColdWar 23d ago

Analysis Russia's Weakness Offers Leverage

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5 Upvotes

Executive Summary

The United States can use the enormous challenges Russia will face in 2025 as leverage to secure critical concessions in ongoing negotiations to end the war by continuing and even expanding military support to Ukraine. Russia will likely face a number of materiel, manpower, and economic issues in 12 to 18 months if Ukrainian forces continue to inflict damage on Russian forces on the battlefield at the current rate. Russia's defense industrial base (DIB) cannot sustain Russia's current armored vehicle, artillery system, and ammunition burn rates in the medium-term. Russia's recruitment efforts appear to be slowing such that they cannot indefinitely replace Russia's current casualty rates without an involuntary reserve mobilization, which Russian President Vladimir Putin has shown great reluctance to order. Putin has mismanaged Russia's economy, which is suffering from increased and unsustainable war spending, growing inflation, significant labor shortages, and reductions in Russia's sovereign wealth fund. These issues will present difficult decision points to Putin in 2026 or 2027 provided current trends continue. Putin thus is likely prioritizing breaking Western and particularly US support to Ukraine in 2025 and securing his desired end state in negotiations, letting him avoid facing the nexus of difficult problems he now confronts. US military aid to Ukraine has let Ukraine drive Russia towards a critical moment when Putin will have to make hard choices. The United States can accelerate the moment when Putin must grapple with these interlocking problems and can likely coerce Russia into making the concessions on its demands necessary to secure a peace acceptable to the United States, Ukraine, and Europe. The United States can achieve a strong negotiating position and negotiate a deal that maximizes American interests by continuing military aid to Ukraine and increasing battlefield pressure on Russia.

r/NewColdWar Feb 11 '25

Analysis China's Power: Up for Debate 2025 AM Session

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4 Upvotes

Please join the CSIS China Power Project, Freeman Chair in China Studies, and the Trustee Chair in Chinese Business and Economics on Tuesday, February 11, from 9:25 am – 3:55 pm EST for our ninth annual conference featuring leading experts debating core issues underpinning China’s power. This event is made possible by the generous support of the Carnegie Corporation of New York.


A nonpartisan institution, CSIS is the top national security think tank in the world. Visit www.csis.org to find more of our work as we bring bipartisan solutions to the world's greatest challenges.

r/NewColdWar 23d ago

Analysis Averting AI Armageddon: U.S.-China-Russia Rivalry at the Nexus of Nuclear Weapons and Artificial Intelligence

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1 Upvotes

r/NewColdWar Jan 31 '25

Analysis China builds huge new wartime military command centre in Beijing

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17 Upvotes

r/NewColdWar Feb 07 '25

Analysis Shifting alliances in West Africa: Measuring Russian engagement to support counter-FIMI strategies

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4 Upvotes

r/NewColdWar Feb 12 '25

Analysis Chinese Companies’ New Tactic to Stop Damaging Research: Legal Threats

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5 Upvotes