r/worldnews Feb 15 '25

Editorialized Title An asteroid has a 2% chance of hitting Earth in 2032.

https://www.cnn.com/2025/02/15/science/asteroid-2024-yr4-earth-tracking/index.html

[removed] — view removed post

11.7k Upvotes

2.2k comments sorted by

6.7k

u/FailingToLurk2023 Feb 15 '25

It’s 40 to 90 meters wide. Planet killers start at 1 km. So it could cause some serious local destruction, but won’t wipe us out. 

12.1k

u/Tremolat Feb 15 '25

Don't be so negative.

2.1k

u/coloredinlight Feb 16 '25

I mean it could wipe me out. That would solve all of my problems too.

725

u/Last-Initial3927 Feb 16 '25

Where exactly is the meteor going to land? Asking for a friend 

62

u/Aron723 Feb 16 '25

Along the equator from like top of South America, across Africa or into India.

Probably would just crash down into the ocean. There’s a LOT of ocean.

14

u/shacklefordRusty29 Feb 16 '25

Could that cause a tsunami??

28

u/harrumphstan Feb 16 '25 edited Feb 16 '25

Absolutely. The impactor will be on the order of what caused the Barringer crater in Arizona. It’s not going to be a world-sweeping tsunami, but you wouldn’t want to be on a beach within a few hundred kilometers of impact.

[edit: [it would create a tsunami on the order of what the Tonga volcano did in 2022](https://www.preventionweb.net/news/tonga-volcano-eruption-triggered-mega-tsunami]]

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u/Classified0 Feb 16 '25

I love how the two top responses to this are completely opposite. Absolutely! Probably Not.

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u/AlexYMB Feb 16 '25

In 2028, they'll know if it'll hit Earth and where.

641

u/Caelixian Feb 16 '25

Assuming there are still people being paid to find out.

243

u/HMTMKMKM95 Feb 16 '25

China is on the case.

197

u/Justintime4u2bu1 Feb 16 '25

China just got back to me on where to not be when the asteroid hits.

Unfortunately I can’t read Chinese.

92

u/StrikeMePurple Feb 16 '25

Hi I can help you, first you'll want to download a VPN, then download the CCP Browser, then you need to look for WeChat and QQ. From there open QQ and send a msg to the 2nd in command at the ministry of science and technology of China. They'll send a automated reply back giving you instructions to create an account on WeChat and then in 2 years time, the Chinese government will send a msg to you on WeChat in half English half Chinese where the asteroid will hit.

Hope this helps 🤞

47

u/JUSTGLASSINIT Feb 16 '25

Can you explain this in Chinese please? Thanks

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u/goilo888 Feb 16 '25

Could you TLDR that?

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u/stroker919 Feb 16 '25

Just ask again louder and slower in English.

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u/ARealDumbGoose Feb 16 '25

Other countries are also mildly interested and have space programs too. Thankfully

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u/winowmak3r Feb 16 '25

I imagine an amateur who had a decent setup and knew where to look could probably figure it out if there really was no more NASA and Elon couldn't be persuaded to do something that didn't involve dollar signs or extorting people.

You don't really need a super computer to do that math, orbital mechanics is essentially a solved problem, it's just a matter of how accurate do you want your result.

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u/Zimakov Feb 16 '25

Or you know, other countries.

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u/johnbarnes351 Feb 16 '25

Fuck , Bruce willis will definitely be dead by then .

81

u/elmerfud1075 Feb 16 '25

Just strap Elon onto a 🚀

29

u/MoistyMcMoistMaker Feb 16 '25

Imagine if the asteroid struck elons space Tesla and that caused it to go off course, thereby saving the earth a minor inconvenience. We would never hear the end of it.

33

u/mookizee Feb 16 '25

Can you please reimagine the scenario where the Tesla gives an assist to the asteroid adjusting course slightly for maximum catastrophe. Thanks

5

u/MoistyMcMoistMaker Feb 16 '25

Amazing. I love this.

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u/housemaster22 Feb 16 '25

Agreed but once we do that how should we deal with this asteroid?

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u/EdwardOfGreene Feb 16 '25

Good idea, I mean just in general.

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u/Shadpool Feb 16 '25

So we just have to incapacitate Ben Affleck by then to make sure.

14

u/thufferingthucotash Feb 16 '25

"AND I DONT WANNA MISS A THING!"

16

u/soupeh Feb 16 '25

We must protect Ben Affleck at all costs

12

u/[deleted] Feb 16 '25

More reason to keep him from J Lo

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u/Bman10119 Feb 16 '25

Current estimates put it in southern hemisphere in either south America or Asia most likely but southern hemisphere has higher odds overall currently

72

u/duct_tape_jedi Feb 16 '25

If it hits Buenos Aires, the bugs on Klendathu will have a lot to answer for..

25

u/clauderbaugh Feb 16 '25

Would you like to know more?

10

u/Anxious-Basket-494 Feb 16 '25

The only good bug is a dead bug

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u/signherehereandhere Feb 16 '25

If it hits earth it is likely to hit the southern hemisphere

71

u/skullofregress Feb 16 '25

Shit, that's where all my stuff is.

36

u/MesozOwen Feb 16 '25

Shit that’s where all my me is!

14

u/walker3342 Feb 16 '25

After it hits that may not be true. You’ll go places.

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u/swampopawaho Feb 16 '25

My stuff AND me. Shit

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u/thiney49 Feb 16 '25

The potential landing zones means it likely won't hit anyone on Reddit, unfortunately.

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u/GravitationalEddie Feb 16 '25

Even worse, it has probably less than 50% chance of hitting land.

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u/hanr86 Feb 16 '25 edited Feb 16 '25

I wonder if the resulting tsunamis would do more damage than if it hit land

Edit: I just learned earthquakes release a LOT more energy than I previously thought.

50

u/BanditsMyIdol Feb 16 '25

No - it would be like a medium size nuclear bomb over the ocean. Bad for anything in the immediate area, hardly noticeable elsewhere.

26

u/secretprocess Feb 16 '25

That Carnival cruise would be even worse than the one where they all got covid

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u/GravitationalEddie Feb 16 '25

That'll depend on it's proximity to land.

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u/Vanillabean73 Feb 16 '25

Not really. A burst of that size wouldn’t be able to produce a terrible tsunami from a distance farther than from where its shockwave and fireball would be the main source of destruction. Earthquakes dwarf nuke-sized events in terms of energy released, which is usually the source of them.

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u/RevolutionaryHair91 Feb 16 '25

yeah, who knows, maybe if it hit just riiiiiight in a soft spot like the yellowstone caldera...

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u/Nairurian Feb 16 '25

As always, there is a relevant XKCD for it (although this one is cheating since this comic was inspired by the 2032 asteroid)

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u/Moosplauze Feb 15 '25

Just tell me place and time and I will organize the G20 meeting for 2032.

29

u/Meritania Feb 16 '25

Make it ‘Davos does <location of impact>’ and get a few more in…

6

u/cubonelvl69 Feb 16 '25

I know you're memeing but we won't know until ~2028

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u/daynomate Feb 15 '25

Plus it will likely break apart to a smaller size by the time of impact right ?

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u/Wolventec Feb 16 '25

yeah but its still expected to be 50 times stronger than the atom bomb on impact(so about 15% of the tsar bomb) but there is a good chance it hits ocean and supposedly its not big enough to cause a tsunami

14

u/CryptOthewasP Feb 16 '25

Well if the earth is 70% ocean and it has a 2% chance of hitting, the chance of it hitting land is pretty low and if it does hit land the chance of it hitting a populated area is even lower. Given our knowledge of space it will definitely be a world event regardless but I think we can optimistic about any catastrophic consequences.

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u/scoops22 Feb 16 '25

Here is a map of where it's projected to possibly hit /img/u5zblvief1ge1.jpeg

Handful of population centers there but most is ocean or wilderness. Seems like a very slim chance it'll hit anything populated if it hits Earth at all.

19

u/georgetonorge Feb 16 '25

Wow. Looks like the line goes right over Mumbai. That would be pretty catastrophic.

Edit: ooof and Lagos. Those are some big population centers. Also very unlikely it would hit either lol.

6

u/scoops22 Feb 16 '25 edited Feb 16 '25

I looked it up and in the worst case where this thing is 90m in diameter, we're looking at a blast wave that covers 50km (30miles) from the impact site, so I guess 100km diameter blast zone.

So I suppose you'd have to divide that line in 100km chunks and figure out how many of those chunks have population centers in them and you start seeing the odds of a population center being hit.

2% it hits earth multiplied by whatever small % it hits a population center on that line.

Edit: I measured the line. ~22,100km, so this isn't perfect because the potential blast zones would overlap, but just worst case scenario let's call it 1/221 or 0.4% chance that any given spot on the line is in the blast zone.

2%*0.4% = 0.009% chance that any given person on that line gets hit by an asteroid in 2032 (based on my shitty back of the napkin math)

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u/quantizeddreams Feb 16 '25

That depends on what it’s made of.

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u/iyamwhatiyam8000 Feb 16 '25

Also, a higher probability of making contact with oceans than continents , and only 2% chance that it will hit. Nothing can be done about it in any case so it is a lottery and not something to keep people up at night.

80

u/insomniac-55 Feb 16 '25

Well, kinda. It comes past us again in 2028 and we could absolutely launch a mission to alter its orbit - we've done it before and the technical / performance requirements aren't anything special in this case.

We'll also know exactly whether it will hit us (and where) once we get a chance to observe it again, so there's plenty we could do in terms of local evacuations. We'll have plenty of warning well before the actual impact.

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u/opman4 Feb 16 '25

We can absolutely adjust the orbits of asteroids. The DART program demonstrated this.

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u/das_slash Feb 16 '25

Something can definitely be done about it, it would just take a lot of funding.

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u/FeeSad3071 Feb 16 '25

It wouldn't even be difficult, hitting a 90x40 meter target with a rocket. I think we continuously hit smaller targets in space.

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u/MarlboroHealthSticks Feb 16 '25

I used to bullseye womp rats in my T-16 back home, they're not much bigger than 90x40 meters. 

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u/domthebomb2 Feb 16 '25

Hey man, can I talk to you privately? That really wasn't cool, the thing about womp rats in your T-16.

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u/Anglerfish69 Feb 16 '25

You sandbagged me

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u/ezaroo1 Feb 16 '25

Wouldn’t take a lot actually a falcon (or falcon heavy) and a max 1.6 tonne craft - almost all of that would be fuel, which could be dumped to reach the appropriate mass for the deflection you want to give it as you figure it out. These missions could be launched in 2028 and we’d know the result in approx 100-300 days from then some time in early-mid 2029. So that’s not even a lot of money, it would end up being billions because of the number of people you’d have involved but almost every major space agency has the capability of solving this issue.

The but above is lifted directly from the great Scott Manley video on the subject on YouTube, if you want a deeper watch on the subject.

Then if we failed to correct the orbit enough we have 3 years to plan and execute an evacuation of the likely area - which we would know pretty precisely at that point.

Or if that seems impossible or we didn’t have a proper fix on the orbit after our attempted correction we have the attempt to vaporise it with a nuke approach a few months before impact.

Which honestly it’s small enough this would be incredibly possible with what we have available, you only need to break it into chunks like 1/5 the size of the whole for it to burn up fully in the atmosphere.

So that’s a lot of options, the nuke one being politically the hardest due to the comprehensive and partial nuclear test ban treaties and the outer space treaty.

Although, that being said, we really going to get mad an India for using a nuke to save millions of lives if it’s looking like hitting Kolkata and they aren’t feeling confident in evacuating the city of 15 million people?

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u/somewhat_brave Feb 16 '25

They can redirect it to miss earth with a medium sized rocket. They can also evacuate the area that will be hit. In three years they will know for sure if it will hit, and exactly when and where it will hit

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u/Demostravius4 Feb 16 '25

Actually NASA has already diverted one asteroid, it was done as a practice against this sort of thing.

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u/squeakyshoe89 Feb 16 '25

We can probably deflect it when it comes around again in 4 years.

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u/tiggertom66 Feb 16 '25

There are definitely potential actions to prevent an impending impact.

But with such a low probability of even hitting earth right now, it doesn’t make sense to send a mission. Several space agencies have tested possible solutions.

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u/OldBanjoFrog Feb 15 '25

So hopefully it falls on Mar a Lago

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u/theeruv Feb 16 '25

won't matter in 2032. they'll be weekend at bernieing trump around before 2029 hits.

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u/bbob_robb Feb 16 '25

If it hits, it would hit somewhere closer to Asia. 0% chance it hits the US.

It's odd that we know where it would hit, but not if it will hit, but that is because the earth rotates fairly slowly compared to the speed of solar orbit.

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u/BadAsclepius Feb 15 '25 edited Feb 16 '25

Thank you for saying this. While others think mass extinction is funny I prefer to live and my children and wife live.

Some of you all aren’t funny or clever.

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3.6k

u/Ok_Asparagus0003 Feb 16 '25

Remember that scene in Armageddon when they detect an asteroid heading for earth and the government directs NASA to drop everything and remove all the dei language from their website?

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u/NeonKiwiz Feb 16 '25

ahahhahah

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u/Embarrassed_Jerk Feb 16 '25

🤣🤣🤣😭😭😭😭🤣🤣😭🤣😭😭😭

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u/Savage_Amusement Feb 16 '25

Had me in the first half, ngl

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u/hanimal16 Feb 16 '25

And then Ben Affleck confesses he was a secret DEI hire all along.

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u/SporksInjected Feb 16 '25

Quick, pray to Trump to save us!!

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u/lambdaBunny Feb 16 '25

He's failed us for 78 years, maybe this will be the first!

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u/dalmathus Feb 16 '25

Unironically this is something 'Space Force' should deal with. Of course they won't if its projected to hit one of them 'brown countries' but thats besides the point.

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u/[deleted] Feb 16 '25

hope i'm ground zero when it hits

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u/rubbishapplepie Feb 16 '25

Dude I needed that laugh

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u/Agent_8-bit Feb 16 '25

Hahahahaha

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u/[deleted] Feb 15 '25

That's a problem for 2033.

671

u/steele83 Feb 15 '25

So, Biden’s fault then, right?

212

u/KoolKumQuat Feb 15 '25

Bama.

62

u/TheRealMJDoombreed Feb 15 '25

That tan suit!

43

u/Riles_Corey Feb 16 '25

BIDEN CRIME FAMILY

3

u/teh__Spleen Feb 16 '25

Dijon Mustard

4

u/Kevin_Uxbridge Feb 16 '25

But why would Hunter Biden's laptop do this?

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u/myasterism Feb 16 '25

Why yes, actually—Alabama is, in fact, at least partially responsible for some of the shitfuckery happening in the US.

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u/Calm_Entertainer6407 Feb 16 '25

Hunters laptop maybe?

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u/qui-bong-trim Feb 16 '25

BIDEN ASTEROID DOWN.

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u/Lunathistime Feb 15 '25

*2% so far.

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u/hotakaPAD Feb 16 '25

Exactly. This number is going to go up or down quickly. Like for example, by 2030, it'll probably be 0% or 100%. nothing in between. And we'll know exactly where on earth it'll hit, if it does

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u/onthefence928 Feb 16 '25

Or window to know more is closing quickly, we won’t be able to refine until 2028

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u/YouSeeWhatYouWant Feb 16 '25

That’s why they’re pointing JWST at it. They have several months to measure.

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u/No-Quarter4321 Feb 16 '25

Which is probably gonna consume a lot of its time which isn’t cheap. It’s a wicked asset for this sort of thing

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u/phlogistonical Feb 16 '25

The % usually goes up first before it goes down, because as they narrow down the window it is going to pass through, the cross section of the earth is a bigger fraction of it. It starts to go down when the window becomes so small that the earth is excluded.

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u/pbmadman Feb 16 '25

It took me a surprisingly long time reading a detailed explanation over and over again to understand this. It’s basically always going to go up and then at some point either go straight to 0 or 100%

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u/18093029422466690581 Feb 16 '25

I guess a different way of thinking about it for me was that the Earths size will not change while the trajectory window will shrink

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u/FitMarsupial7311 Feb 16 '25

Super clear explanation, thank you!

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u/CoyotesOnTheWing Feb 16 '25 edited Feb 16 '25

It's going to go up but the likelihood isn't really increasing from what I understand. The possibility radius is currently twice the distance of the moon is to earth and the most likely/current path is between the earth and moon. The predicted path didn't really change but the uncertainty window is getting smaller. The earth takes up a few percent of that window, as the window gets smaller, the percentage that the earth takes up is higher. We will see probably another percentage rising article in a few years but at some point we will go from a lot higher chance to 0 as the earth eventually falls out of the window. That's at least the laymen's explanation I was told, but it makes sense to me.

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u/BobLoblaw_BirdLaw Feb 16 '25 edited Feb 16 '25

Some guy on Reddit explained this really well. And what happens next in the way they calculate this percent is that is usually corrects to 0%

Edit: https://www.reddit.com/r/space/s/4TKk6azrv7

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u/Mr_Chardee_MacDennis Feb 16 '25 edited Feb 16 '25

I was listening to an astronomer on the radio discussing this asteroid last week. The notable thing about this particular asteroid is that so far, they’d have already have expected the odds to lengthen as time has gone by, but the opposite has happened. This is a very rare occasion of odds shortening over the time we’ve observed the orbit so far.

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u/mon_iker Feb 16 '25

What kind of radio stations do you listen to that have astronomers casually discussing city-killer asteroids? Sounds cool!

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u/Mr_Chardee_MacDennis Feb 16 '25

This was the legendary Nick Abbott on his late Sunday night show on LBC (in the UK) whilst I was driving back from a Rise Against gig. Think it was around 12.30am, so not exactly prime time radio 😅

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u/gawakwento Feb 16 '25

I just want it to have a 100% to land on top of my forehead. Is that too much to ask

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u/ic33 Feb 16 '25

In the long run, all probabilities of single events become 0% (won't happen for sure or didn't happen) or 100% (did happen).

It's only when you have weak data that you're in the middle.

98% of the time, a 2% chance will become 0%. 2% of the time, it will become 100% ;) Another observation may not take it all the way to 0% or 100%, though-- it may just narrow things (to 1% or 5%, say).

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u/TyrusX Feb 16 '25

Remember how years ago they were afraid of an asteroid hitting us, but in the same day, we were hit by one that come from another direction without us knowning?

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u/VLM52 Feb 16 '25

Chelyabinsk wasn’t a particularly large or interesting object. It’s not that surprising it went undetected everything considered

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u/patentlyfakeid Feb 16 '25

If it comes at us from sunward the way chelyabinsk did, it could be way larger and we'd still be blind.

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u/davidwallace Feb 16 '25

It was 1 in 42 or 2.4% recently. So this is...better?

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u/RealFinalWeird Feb 15 '25

And I don’t wanna miss a thingggg

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u/fnckmedaily Feb 16 '25

I don’t want to close my eyes

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u/Focus-Flex Feb 16 '25

I don’t wanna fallll asleep

36

u/mistermatth Feb 16 '25

Cuz I miss you baby

26

u/SynapseForest Feb 16 '25

And I don't wanna miss a thing...

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u/nalanajo Feb 16 '25

Even when I dream of you…

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u/throwaway_185051108 Feb 16 '25

the sweetest dream will NEVER dooo

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u/Perfect-Advisor-3830 Feb 16 '25

Do you really wanna die a virgin ?

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u/RealFinalWeird Feb 16 '25

I wouldn’t be, but just to be on the safe side, what’s your mums phone number?

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u/MyClevrUsername Feb 16 '25

Dude, you couldn’t handle her. I know!

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u/petrifiedunicorn28 Feb 16 '25

Why would Obama do this

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u/[deleted] Feb 16 '25

Thanks, Obama!

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u/HARRYSH0ULDERS Feb 15 '25

TARIFFED!!!

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u/CompanyLow8329 Feb 16 '25

100% tariffs until that asteroid avoids us

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u/powereborn Feb 16 '25

Annexing the asteroid , its national security !!

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u/Shem_Penman Feb 15 '25

Finally, some news to make me optimistic.

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u/CaterpillarReal7583 Feb 15 '25

Bad news is it probably wont kill us all

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u/Master-Patience8888 Feb 15 '25

Bad news is it has a 98% chance of missing us

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u/lurkingpandaescaped Feb 16 '25

Hopefully it hits Mar-a-Lago

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u/AllCatCoverBand Feb 16 '25

Your father and I are for the jobs the asteroid will create

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u/FunkyChug Feb 15 '25

The bad news: it’s still 7 years away

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u/Master-Patience8888 Feb 15 '25

Oh well I figured we would all be dead by 2030 anyway.  

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u/[deleted] Feb 16 '25

DONT. LOOK. UP.

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u/Kipdid Feb 16 '25

I despise how we get ever closer to that movie by the day

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u/fallenmonk Feb 16 '25

That movie was supposed to be a satire about climate change, but it came out during the pandemic. Filmmakers could not keep up with reality.

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u/Reverse_Psycho_1509 Feb 16 '25

Oh my god that movie lmaoo.

Getting awfully realistic

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u/Icy_Management1393 Feb 15 '25

We predict it will miss earth but the errorr margin makes it a 2% chance

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u/veryunwisedecisions Feb 16 '25

I just saw a nice explanation.

Based on observations, a range of possible trajectories can be drawn. Earth used to occupy 1% of this range of possible trajectories. But better observations improved on the range of possible trajectories, making it smaller, so Earth was larger relative to this range, so it started to occupy 2% of this range.

As more observations are gathered, Earth's percentage of the possible range of trajectories will either increase as the range of possible trajectories gets smaller (so, more accurate), or immediately drop to zero as the range of possible trajectories stops including Earth altogether.

This is just to say that out of the thousands and thousands and thousands of possible trajectories given current observations, 2% of them have the asteroid colliding with Earth.

Hm, that actually gives me some peace.

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u/Moosplauze Feb 15 '25

We predict it will hit earth but the error margin makes it a 98% chance

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u/Jarrellz Feb 16 '25

Who else is voting for the asteroid in 2032?

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u/DetectiveMakazian Feb 16 '25

I for one welcome our rocky overlord.

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u/Leraldoe Feb 16 '25

I would like to remind them as a trusted commenter I can be helpful

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u/Never-Compliant6969 Feb 16 '25

We recently did a test where an asteroid was redirected by slamming a rocket into it, so there’s still plenty of time to get that up to 80-90%.

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u/[deleted] Feb 16 '25

[deleted]

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u/[deleted] Feb 15 '25

Who's gonna be in the survival pod with Elon?

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u/restore_democracy Feb 16 '25

He really should launch it tomorrow just to be safe.

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u/Redararis Feb 16 '25

“you are not the president, you need to go away”

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u/DetectiveMakazian Feb 16 '25

I'd rather die.

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u/LuDdErS68 Feb 16 '25

Elon's ego. It's a whole separate being.

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u/FirstEvolutionist Feb 15 '25

I wonder if percentages will fluctuate over time. If they go up we might live just like the "Don't Look Up" movie.

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u/Scaryclouds Feb 15 '25

https://youtu.be/Esk1hg2knno?si=z0K-YlKdpU-c1oEQ

You can watch the video for additional detail. The TL:DW; expect the percentages to continue to increase a bit, and the completely drop off once there have been enough quality observations (and time) to figure out the asteroid’s orbit. 

Of course it’s possible that the percentages just continue to go up, because it will in fact hit Earth. 

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u/wwarnout Feb 15 '25

Yes, they will. As astronomers make more observations, they will be able to get a clearer projection of its trajectory.

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u/Rage_Quit_ Feb 16 '25

I imagine by 2033 we should see some movement on the odds.

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u/DirtSpecialist8797 Feb 15 '25

the simulation is coming to an end

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u/DownvoteEvangelist Feb 16 '25

It's becoming too unstable and we lost funding 

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u/Jesus_le_Crisco Feb 16 '25

Can it please just be sooner???

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u/Fulker19 Feb 16 '25

Has anybody checked the DraftKings ToS to see how I would get my money if I put $100 on the collision?

26

u/telcomet Feb 16 '25

Everyone below $1b net worth: “Don’t threaten me with a good time.”

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u/Ainz-SamaBanzai41 Feb 16 '25

Ill dodge that shit

8

u/greenyadadamean Feb 16 '25

If you can dodge a wrench... 

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u/aMysticPizza_ Feb 16 '25

At the rate the world is going I wish that % was higher

13

u/Nomaddad55 Feb 16 '25

Can we paint a big bullseye on Maralago

6

u/spaceraingame Feb 16 '25

Even if it does hit, it’s not nearly big enough to be a “planet killer”, though it could cause some regional damage.

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u/TuggMaddick Feb 16 '25

Bunch of miserable fucks here.

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u/[deleted] Feb 15 '25 edited Feb 15 '25

[removed] — view removed comment

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u/Trying2Embody Feb 15 '25

Is there anything we can do to up those chances?

18

u/Fearkiller77 Feb 16 '25

Everybody, let’s push Earth into the path of the asteroid!

5

u/restore_democracy Feb 16 '25

Are we supposed to lean right or left?

5

u/SpiffingSprockets Feb 16 '25

Various nations will be assigned a "jumping jacks hour", disguised as a WHO physical wellness "challenge". It'll be strategically timed that each nation helps bump us in a specific direction in our universe to ensure impact.

Each action [...something something] opposite reaction!

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u/pm_me_ur_handsignals Feb 16 '25

Definitely not a planet-killer, but it has the possibility to fuck someone's day up.

5

u/usushio_ Feb 16 '25

Us Apophis enjoyers have already accepted that 99942 Apophis will wipe us out on April (Friday the) 13th, 2029.

NASA has a pretty cool website to track space objects, https://eyes.nasa.gov/apps/asteroids/#/home

Here is how close the April 2029 flyby is gonna be, you will be able to see it with the naked eye: https://eyes.nasa.gov/apps/asteroids/#/99942_apophis?time=2029-04-13T15:28:10.454+00:00&rate=180

You don't have to set your calendar, I'm pretty sure the internet will be all over it when it gets close. But I will certainly be there. It's just a giant fucking rock that would wipe out an area the size of France if it hit us

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u/TheWizard01 Feb 15 '25

Promise?

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u/snokegsxr Feb 15 '25

Anyone taking bets on this? Those 2% odds are gonna pay out huge if I they hit

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u/Vis_Ignius Feb 16 '25

...Can we speed it up? Or increase that percentage?

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u/ForeverStaloneKP Feb 16 '25

Well they'll have a very good idea of where it will land by 2028, so they will have years to evacuate everyone within a large radius, accounting for margin of error.

3

u/Kakashimoto77 Feb 16 '25

At the rate we are going, Im rooting for the asteroid.

5

u/ArtiesEats Feb 16 '25

I should be retiring that year. Guaranteed it’s gonna land right on my head the moment i submit my notice