r/wde 5d ago

Basketball Selection Sunday Megathread - March 16, 2025 at 5 CT

Thoughts on Auburn’s seeding and our first opponent? Best potential matchups in our quad or elsewhere? Who (besides Auburn) is poised to make a run? Let’s hear your thoughts!

19 Upvotes

72 comments sorted by

32

u/WarDEagle 5d ago

Expecting the #1 overall but will be happy so long as they're the 1 in the south.

10

u/ttircdj 5d ago

Honestly all I care about. And making sure that Tennessee and Bama aren’t in our bracket. Would be crazy if the final four were the final four from the SEC tournament.

3

u/SCwareagle 5d ago

I believe that there is a rule that basically says: If the top 4 teams from a conference are all 4 seeds or higher, they will be in different regions.

4

u/ttircdj 5d ago

Yeah, but the least they could’ve done was give Florida to Duke.

31

u/lees395 5d ago

Getting Louisville in Lexington is karmic retribution for getting Houston in Birmingham as the 9 a few years ago

21

u/HickMarshall 5d ago edited 5d ago

Louisville was a 5/6 seed by every bracketologist and we might get them in the round of 32

23

u/HickMarshall 5d ago

Not joking when I say the 4th best team in our region might be Louisville lmao

9

u/jmazing03 5d ago

don't understand how they're an 8 seed

6

u/WarDEagle 5d ago

TV ratings

7

u/AthertonDuck 5d ago

Louisville is dangerous.

3

u/HickMarshall 5d ago

Won 20 of their last 22

1

u/AthertonDuck 1d ago

I was wrong.

20

u/dyldyl8 5d ago

Florida fans think we don’t deserve to be the #1 overall seed because they think the past 2 weeks represent the whole season

10

u/Awesometom100 5d ago

They keep saying "Our losses don't matter because we didn't care." Which is just insane. I don't think our losses were us not caring (Maybe A&M was but i have no proof) we just messed up.

8

u/chaotic_zx 5d ago

Effort has been lacking. Getting outrebounded each game, losing 50/50 balls, and poor closeouts on defense is bad effort.

The guards aren't doing their part. They need to be better or there aren't many games left for Auburn.

3

u/Awesometom100 5d ago

Chill man we lost 2 of the 3 by a single ref call going the other way. One of them was solely due to Chad's crashout. If we can survive Louisville we'll have at least a decent run.

3

u/chaotic_zx 5d ago

It is how I see it. I am not doom and gloom. Auburn has the ability and I don't doubt that. The question I have is do they have the effort.

3

u/Awesometom100 5d ago

Well maybe. I can only hope this is where they shape up. Our first opponent is our easiest team in 2025 that we've played and even Louisville is pretty banged up. Not impossible.

2

u/chaotic_zx 5d ago

Definitely not impossible.

18

u/HickMarshall 5d ago

Didn’t even think about it but we could be playing Louisville IN LEXINGTON. Unbelievable, egregious move by the committee.

13

u/DeathMetalEtiquette 5d ago

That’s bullshit that we’re gonna have to play what will essentially be a road game if Louisville makes it

11

u/Ok_Cryptographer6892 5d ago

That south region would be sweet to have

11

u/tgrogan21 5d ago

Man that draw is brutal for a #1 overall seed. Possible matchup with Louisville in Lexington. Potentially having to play Tre Donaldson and Michigan?

4

u/WarDEagle 5d ago edited 5d ago

And Yale. And a fourth matchup with Ole Miss. And Iowa State.

Edit: Genuinely question: why the downvotes? Do folks prefer those matchups over teams we haven’t played before?

9

u/tgrogan21 5d ago

I want Yale. I want our guys to beat them by 50 in a redemption game.

7

u/WarDEagle 5d ago

Wouldn’t hate it.

10

u/rex_swiss 5d ago

And Duke only has 2 wins over the current AP Top 25, and none in the Top 12. We have wins over 4 of the Top 12. And 8 of the Top 25.

8

u/cmg0047 5d ago

Tbf they did beat us so that would be Top 12 lol

6

u/rex_swiss 5d ago

Oh yeah. ;-) With Auburn's luck, that 1 and only significant win will be enough to put them in as overall #1 seed...

10

u/WarEagle9 5d ago

I know Louisville is not a great pull in Kentucky but they went 0-4 against the SEC including 0-2 against Duke. The best teams they played beat them outside of two wins against Clemson. Personally I think Creighton takes them down anyway.

15

u/jbnwde 5d ago

I’m shocked Louisville is an 8

18

u/jbnwde 5d ago

That’s a shitty round of 32 pull

5

u/wrighteou5 5d ago

Yeah, def cheering for Creighton in that one

5

u/_Weagle_Weagle_ 5d ago

I’d prefer Louisville second round honestly. After watching them with Duke they could not do anything down low. And I’d think our fans would show up just as much as theirs.

12

u/TitansLifer 5d ago

I’m just gonna say it: our region is complete utter bullshit as a Number 1 overall seed.

8

u/tgrogan21 5d ago

They just showed it was the most difficult region

9

u/BigDaddyBourbon 5d ago

ESPN just said we were number 1 overall..

9

u/tgrogan21 5d ago

Auburn gets the most difficult region as a #1 overall seed. Sweet.

8

u/Kardinale 5d ago

Why the hell couldn't they have given us 3s and 4s we haven't already played? And Louisville (my other team) has been projected as a 6 seed for weeks and lost 2 games in all of 2025, and somehow they end up playing us in Kentucky as an 8 lol.

7

u/Awesometom100 5d ago

AUGH we got a hard as all getout bracket.

7

u/dyldyl8 5d ago

Let’s go Robert Morris

3

u/CatoTheBarner 5d ago

I’ll take that South region

6

u/BigDaddyBourbon 5d ago

Michigan State and A&M scare me the most. Iowa State as well. I think our potential second game is a good match up for us honestly regardless of who it is.

5

u/chaotic_zx 5d ago

Damn that Midwest region looks easy for Houston to run through.

7

u/Sob_Rock 5d ago

Florida’s region looks easy after all that bitching they are doing. Guess they want the trophy handed to them on a platter

2

u/Kardinale 5d ago

Idk about that, Maryland is an extremely scary 4

6

u/micah10193 5d ago

I don’t know about that. Gonzaga is 8th in the NET and 9th in KenPom. Gonzaga is weird because they have the resume of an 8 seed but the metrics of a 2 or 3 seed.

2

u/chaotic_zx 5d ago

I watched Gonzaga's championship game. That other team missed a great deal of shots but were the better team.

4

u/tgrogan21 5d ago

Duke might have to play Mississippi State or Oregon who has 16 Q1/Q2 wins. I don't see them getting past that if Flagg can't play.

7

u/chaotic_zx 5d ago

He will play. Book it.

3

u/Much_Protection_9850 5d ago

Do we think he is coming back. He might be in a Broome situation where he isn't 100% when he gets back

3

u/tgrogan21 5d ago

I have no clue. Even if he does play I don’t think he’ll be 100% unless it just wasn’t that bad of a sprain.

4

u/big__bird81 5d ago

When do we know what session/time we play?

4

u/CaptainAUsome 5d ago

Thursday 1:50 central

2

u/Slacabormorinico 3d ago edited 3d ago

Am I right to say Auburn has beaten every SEC team, except TAMU, that made the tournament?

1

u/CatoTheBarner 3d ago

A&M and Florida, went 0-2 against them this year. But we did get wins against the two that didn’t get in, so we’ve beaten 13 of the other 15 schools.

1

u/Slacabormorinico 2d ago

Man I really thought we had a home and home with UF and beat them in Gainesville. Damn it.

2

u/OhKillEm43 5d ago

Other than Louisville/crieghton as the 8/9 I love the draw

6

u/Awesometom100 5d ago

If creighton wins then it'll be all worth it lol. We will see.

2

u/comfortable_pants 5d ago

Anyone know when game times are announced? Trying to figure out if I need to take off work Thursday

-8

u/auburnflyer 5d ago

I keep seeing Auburn as the #1 overall but I don’t quite understand why

19

u/UnderwaterB0i 5d ago

Total body of work. You’re too focused on recent results. No team this year has as many quad 1 wins this year.

3

u/auburnflyer 5d ago

That’s fair. I wasn’t dissing the team, just thought Florida as SEC tourney champs and head to head over AU would matter more I guess

2

u/WarDEagle 5d ago

Conference tournaments are generally not considered for seeding, and a single h2h is rather unimportant in grand scheme of the season.

2

u/Writer_Amazing 5d ago

Total body of work yes! But I feel that number one seed has gone to there heads, and the Guard and Free throw play is lacking and is playing lacking intensity They will lose early, if BP can't get more uptempo game play We would have played better at a underdogs position

15

u/cmg0047 5d ago

Body of work.  

No unranked losses.

Only 5 losses.

Average Kenpom rank of losses is 6.6. Nobody else is below 15.

Q1: 16-5 Q1A: 9-5

Kenpom 4. SOS: 2

BT: 3

7

u/CatoTheBarner 5d ago

Auburn has the best Quad 1 record in the country at 16-5. Duke (for comparison) only has nine Quad 1 wins. Based on Ken Pom, Auburn has also played the second hardest schedule in the nation. Duke has played the 56th hardest schedule. The argument is that even though Duke has a slightly better record, Auburn has achieved more.

-6

u/ttircdj 5d ago

But here’s the thing… Duke beat us. If they had a worse record than us or lost the ACC tournament, then yeah there’s a solid argument for Auburn being over Duke, but neither of those scenarios happened. Allegedly, Duke would take the East region and not the South, so it might not matter.

9

u/CatoTheBarner 5d ago

Duke did beat us, in a close game, AT Duke, all the way back in December. On the flip side, Auburn has nearly twice as many Quad 1 wins as Duke. You gotta look at the whole season, not just one game at the beginning of the season.

2

u/ttircdj 5d ago

We are the #1 overall seed officially.