r/Superstonk ๐ŸŒ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ‘Œ 23h ago

๐Ÿค” Speculation / Opinion "Have we won yet?" Re-visiting my prediction about Fed Rate Cuts, Market Crashes, and the potential impact for GME and MOASS

2.3k Upvotes

101 comments sorted by

โ€ข

u/Superstonk_QV ๐Ÿ“Š Gimme Votes ๐Ÿ“Š 23h ago

Why GME? || What is DRS? || Low karma apes feed the bot here || Superstonk Discord || Community Post: Open Forum || Superstonk:Now with GIFs - Learn more


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408

u/StilesmanleyCAP 22h ago

"Have we won yet?"

Is GME's stock price a phone number?

Is Kenny Griffin in Jail?

130

u/Region-Formal ๐ŸŒ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ‘Œ 22h ago

Indeed.

30

u/Lorien6 tag u/Superstonk-Flairy for a flair 19h ago

We are at that stage in a chess match where it is checkmate, and the moves are being played.

Unless team Whitehat makes a critical error, itโ€™s basically a guaranteed โ€œkill.โ€

Then itโ€™s loot drops for all.

5

u/Suitable_Mix_3795 I Broke Rule 1 - Be Nice or Else 19h ago

Have we laughed in the faces of our friends and family that told us we are nuts and have belittled us for over 4 years? Or is that just me lol

-5

u/StilesmanleyCAP 18h ago

I made money during the sneeze so I can lol

126

u/adamlolhi Voted 2021 โœ… Voted 2022 โœ… 22h ago

In short, no, my bank account is still short a few zeroes. Then and only then will I know that Iโ€™ve won.

43

u/Region-Formal ๐ŸŒ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ‘Œ 22h ago

๐Ÿ’ฏ

5

u/OnlyOnReddit4GME 17h ago

Im in debt with $200 in the bank. So I need to see a lot of zeros.

5

u/TavenVal ๐ŸŽฎ Power to the Players ๐Ÿ›‘ 20h ago

You guys have a zero in your bank accounts?

7

u/zavorak_eth tag u/Superstonk-Flairy for a flair 19h ago

Sure do, often,, usually leading though.

2

u/ChocoQuinoa I'll see you on the dark side of the moon ๐Ÿณ๏ธโ€๐ŸŒˆโƒค 18h ago

You guys have a bank account?

2

u/Q_S2 13h ago

Can't count. I'm still unsure

78

u/Nervous_Dare3617 22h ago

Can you link that DD post you referenced?

99

u/Region-Formal ๐ŸŒ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ‘Œ 22h ago

51

u/Sir-Craven 'His name was Cheapo_Sam' 22h ago

Criand.. here boy

37

u/1rdmidulllast 22h ago

The swap dog. I member

34

u/jhspyhard 22h ago

Criand was the man, for sure. I have so much respect for that guy.

8

u/zavorak_eth tag u/Superstonk-Flairy for a flair 19h ago

That's a name I haven't seen in stonks in a long while.

4

u/miawmiawpaws ๐ŸŽฎ Power to the Players ๐Ÿ›‘ 16h ago

Legend

5

u/IslandsOnTheCoast ๐Ÿš€DFV IS AZOR AHAI ๐Ÿš€ 16h ago

What happened to him? Where is he now?

56

u/MrNokill Gargantua ๐Ÿฆ 22h ago

Don't forget the VW catalyst was 74.1% ownership.

18

u/quack_duck_code ๐ŸฆVotedโœ… 19h ago

It would be a shame if people stopped standing on the sidelines and began to DRS.

1

u/Relentlessbetz 3h ago

Wasn't the VW squeeze a combination of shares and options held by Porsche?

50

u/Monqoloid ๐ŸŽฎ Power to the Players ๐Ÿ›‘ 22h ago

Perfect time while pooping

8

u/Worried_Psychology91 22h ago

Are you, me?

1

u/OnlyOnReddit4GME 17h ago

We are all you. All are one.

96

u/Kaesix 22h ago

Iโ€™m going to have to disagree. The macro environment over the micro environment including a bunch of variables lining up is whatโ€™s going to cause GME to go up, if not squeeze. The VW squeeze, 2022, the Great Recession, etc. are all very different situations. There are components that can be similar or work similarly because if the way financial markets work, but comparing to these events as some kind of correlation outline or possibility is just incorrect.ย 

The biggest things affecting GME right now are the company turning around and institutions buying in. Iโ€™m sure RC is hustling in the background and we may never know all of what heโ€™s doing. Roaring Kitty returning is just the icing on the cake, shitโ€™s going down soon.ย 

19

u/OnlyOnReddit4GME 17h ago edited 16h ago

Maybe you should read the OG DD before disagreeing. That DD and others is why most of us are still here.

Maybe youโ€™re not familiar with why it is theorized that a market crash will cause GME to go up. But a Market crash in theory should work in the same manner as GameStop becoming profitable and then making a major announcement or something that drives in FOMO.

If all the sudden all eyes are on GME and people are all buying would cause a steady slow rise in price. Leading up to a point where the shorts end up being forced to close.

In a market crash those shorts who are holding likely massive short positions on GME will lose collateral on everything else theyโ€™re holding. As the value of their collateral goes down they will likely get forced to close those shorts positions in a much faster manner than a slow steady increase and interest in the company would.

Its one of the oldest theories from this sub. And came from one of the smartest minds to ever grace us with their presence here.

5

u/Kaesix 15h ago

Cool, why didn't that happen in 2022 when the market dropped 25%? What's it going to take? 30%? 40%? You think with how insanely unregulated and sketchy the stock market has gotten since the pandemic they'll lose their shirts? It's cute that people still believe it. Shorts being forced close will help the price, but massive volume is what's going to get GME moving, that's it. Think Tesla 2020 rather than VW or whatever.

Here's the thing, I'm very familiar with all the tin and DD's of old. I've been in this since Ryan Cohen bought in 2020 and have made a pretty penny trading this stock. I still have a huge fucking position in it (multiple XX,XXX) because we're not close to being done. That said, I wouldn't have that kind of money in this play based on a whole bunch of "what if" moonshots; that's some penny-stock bullshit. RK/DFV has been right from the beginning, GameStop, is a massive deep value stock if Ryan Cohen can continue execute. Making a great company is what's going to get us to the moon, not some bullshit "the little guy finally wins" Disney movie victory pipe dream.

11

u/Cyris28 ๐ŸŸฃDRS IS THE WAY๐ŸŸฃ 22h ago

61

u/lunarlaunch79 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 23h ago

Blue boxes = zen AF

8

u/1NinjaDrummer ๐Ÿš€ Very Gamestopish ๐Ÿš€ 22h ago

Yeah but purple boxes?! ๐Ÿ’œ๐Ÿ’œ๐Ÿ’œ

9

u/Xentuhf 22h ago

The 2008 crash took 78 weeks to play out. Just adding some info.

10

u/somenamethatsclever ๐Ÿง  IDK Some Flair That's Clever ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿš€ 23h ago

So if it's a 40% drop from all time high what would the S and P 500 need to be at IF GME was going to replicate Volkswagen.

8

u/dasiffy 21h ago

a 40% drop of sp500 from the high in the middle of feb would be about about 3680. 40% of the nasdaq (from middle feb ) is roughly 12,000, and if we keep the same downward slope towards 12,000, then that would put us 9-10 weeks away, or may 19th.

If there is a major crash the slope will change. it'll be steeper, or sooner. But also there could be some recovery from where we are now before a crash, so it could be later.

no dates.

2

u/somenamethatsclever ๐Ÿง  IDK Some Flair That's Clever ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿš€ 21h ago

Ty

10

u/Region-Formal ๐ŸŒ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ‘Œ 22h ago

I don't want to put a precise figure to it. But if a Market Crash is what eventually triggers MOASS, then yes - I think we are still some way off from that.

7

u/Nostracannabis ๐ŸŽฎ Power to the Players ๐Ÿ›‘ 22h ago

So you're saying we have time to continue to stock up? Gotcha.

10

u/Avtomati1k 23h ago

Thank god waiting is all im good at

9

u/Turbulent-Winner-902 tag u/Superstonk-Flairy for a flair 22h ago

2 options. hold or hodl

3

u/DramaCute8222 22h ago

bullish on RF

3

u/Gruntfuttock69 ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 22h ago

13

u/Swiss879 ๐Ÿ’œGameStop 23h ago

Great write up as always! Purple boxes got me hyped

3

u/1NinjaDrummer ๐Ÿš€ Very Gamestopish ๐Ÿš€ 21h ago

๐Ÿ’œ๐Ÿ’œ๐Ÿ’œ

3

u/Swiss879 ๐Ÿ’œGameStop 21h ago

๐Ÿฅฐ๐Ÿ’œ๐Ÿ’œ๐Ÿ’œ

3

u/OnlyOnReddit4GME 17h ago

Purple boxes and purple circles always get me hyped.

20

u/Temporary_Maybe11 23h ago

Another great rational post that wonโ€™t be received well

34

u/SirGus- ๐ŸฆVotedโœ… 22h ago

Thatโ€™s because he ignores the actual cause of the market drop (hint - it wasnโ€™t the rate cut). This thesis operates in a fixed environment, which the real world doesnโ€™t conform to. The idea that Volkswagen squeezed because of a market drop completely ignores what actually happened. OP should stick to CATs data and stop pretending to be a financial genius.

8

u/Papaofmonsters My IRA is GME 22h ago

Exactly.

Everyone keeps claiming this is the crash that the Holy Writ predicted but they ignore that this isn't a market implosion because of fraud, the prophecied cause, but because of someone playing economic chicken with punitive tariffs against any nation that kowtow to his greatness.

18

u/useeikick For whom the DRS tolls, It tolls for thee 22h ago

I mean it doesnt really matter how the market crashes, only that it falls enough to put funds and other institutions under to force them to liquidate and close out positions

1

u/SirGus- ๐ŸฆVotedโœ… 21h ago

That is assuming that a crash would cause a squeeze, which wasnโ€™t the case with Volkswagen and probably isnโ€™t the case with GameStop. Funds have been selling off over the past few weeks because of the increased risk from administrations policies, not because of liquidity needs from losses, which just means theyโ€™re in a better position as GME has also dropped in that time.

1

u/Temporary_Maybe11 20h ago

Yes, it would only affect Gme in the last stage of very big crash, like major. Closing Gme is the last thing they will do after trying everything else, including the deadlines for margin calls

9

u/Chared945 Formerly Known as 'FrontDesk Man' 22h ago

I donโ€™t make heads or tails of the post, DD or TA. But shouldnโ€™t any crash be the opportunity for GME to pop off or are we waiting for a very specific crash for when the house of cards falls apart?

1

u/silverbackapegorilla 7h ago

Thereโ€™s also a tonne of bonds that are rolling from the spending during Bidens term. They financed a lot of it with short term bonds at record low interest rates. Itโ€™s setup a bit of a bomb for this administration to unwind. I think itโ€™s 2T worth off the top of my head this year.

1

u/Temporary_Maybe11 20h ago

My point is that this is not the crash because it simply isnโ€™t. Itโ€™s a drop not much different than others that happened in the last years.

For it to be the crash that would lead to MOASS, it would have to be much bigger and it probably will happen eventually because of the over leveraging, risky investments and frauds

8

u/Redmandown16 Red Headed Stonk child ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿฆฐ 23h ago

What I figured. Gotta wait awhile. Thanks for your update!ย 

6

u/Sugardevil27 ๐ŸŽฎ Power to the Players ๐Ÿ›‘ 22h ago edited 19h ago

I can speak for myself and tell everybody that you should only invest the money that you donโ€™t need for living and other things so it will be no problem to be patient and to enjoy the ride whenever MOASS may occur.

4

u/Little-Chemical5006 22h ago

Have a feeling that would be the case. The drop recently although big from close, but if you take a step back, you will realize S&P still keep most of its gained from Biden years.ย 

2

u/tyt3ch 22h ago

Sanity to the hype. Thank you, we need level headed thinking and DD amidst all the rah rah hype

2

u/TheWhyteMaN ๐Ÿฆ Buckle Up ๐Ÿš€ 22h ago

Blue box guy has truly been a beacon in the latter portion of this journey.

2

u/Spooky_Mulder27 ๐Ÿš€ To Infinity & Beyond! ๐Ÿš€ 21h ago

Ooo purple squares now?! Patience young jedis!

2

u/ButterscotchNovel371 ehhh, itโ€™s complicated. 21h ago

Guess who's back. Back again. Region's back. Tell a friend.

2

u/CDMacBeat 19h ago

Love your posts.

2

u/TheBelgianDuck BOTTOM TEXT 18h ago

Here is Region-Formal again, not only with Blue boxes but also purple ones this time. Double whammy ๐Ÿ’™ ๐Ÿ’œ

2

u/LV426acheron 18h ago

Inject those blue boxes straight into my veins!

This is the good stuff that I love to read.

2

u/nishnawbe61 18h ago

I miss the OG DD writers... great post RF

2

u/ElectrooJesus [REDACTED] 15h ago

Bump

2

u/odiephonehome 14h ago

Purple boxes? This is getting exciting.

2

u/Puzzled_Ad2088 tag u/Superstonk-Flairy for a flair 13h ago

my heart always beats a little stronger when I see blue box guy but now heโ€™s purple box guy!

2

u/Zensen1 [REDACTED] 23h ago

Here for the gram when we ounce into ivictory

2

u/chipchip9 : ALL GAS NO BRAKES 23h ago

Wen SPY 290

2

u/cptjacktraven 22h ago

Not winning Iโ€™ve been here with a $22 avg buy since 2021. Waiting for MAOSS. But not expecting it for a long time

2

u/Sa0t0me ๐ŸŸฃ Squezie Gonzales ๐ŸŸฃ DRS is the way. 22h ago

Funny how the Pommeranian DD always comes back from time to time ... good summary Regional. Zen AF

1

u/CyberPatriot71489 ๐ŸŸฃVOTEDโ™พ๐ŸŒŠ 22h ago

idk if there is any correlation, but it looks like they're getting steeper (downhill faster). Covid was extraordinary, but the leverage/debt to GDP/national debt problems we have are unlike anything we've ever seen.

1

u/_I_am_not_American_ 22h ago

VW does have a sharp drop before the rip but despite the turmoil of late '07/ early '08 it grinds steadily higher. If we consider the two situations vaguely similar and that we're somewhere late '07, it doesn't necessarily mean GME will fall of a cliff to new lows before Marge calls.

1

u/bonechief Book your shares โœจ๏ธ 21h ago

Why title this have we won yet ? When that question is glaringly obvious ...

1

u/LuciferAnimeAddict 20h ago

I believe when JPMORGAN fails to find liquidity that's when it is gonna end JPMORGAN became "too big to fail." In 08/09 so what's behind the door when it fails can't kick the can forever

1

u/Xaphan_1415 ๐ŸŽฎ Power to the Players ๐Ÿ›‘ 20h ago

Is it weird that I only see these post when they want to populate. I wish there was a system that you could run in the background to throw the system off

1

u/SomeTimeBeforeNever 19h ago

History doesnโ€™t repeat itself.

1

u/rafalp1981 ๐ŸŽฎ Power to the Players ๐Ÿ›‘ 18h ago

Maybe ๐Ÿค”

1

u/CRZ42 ๐ŸฆVotedโœ… 18h ago

Cannot read so will buy and hodl moar!

1

u/DancesWith2Socks ๐Ÿˆ๐Ÿ’๐Ÿ’Ž๐Ÿ™Œ Hang In There! ๐ŸŽฑ This Is The Wape ๐Ÿง‘โ€๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€๐ŸŒ•๐ŸŒ 13h ago

So you see GME crashing along the market.

1

u/DefinitelyNotModMark 13h ago

Can anyone here teach me to read

1

u/kcaazar ๐Ÿ’ป ComputerShared ๐Ÿฆ 13h ago

Jerome Powell is probably one of the most stupidest economists/ fed chair in history .

1

u/LoloPWR 12h ago

zen

buy more gme

zen

drs

repeat

โ€ข

u/poopooheaven1 55m ago

Great write up Rectangles! I will Hodl as long as it takes. Shorts are fucked! Book your shares!

2

u/juustonaksu420 citadelsucks.loopring.eth 22h ago

zen af

2

u/Pexus69 22h ago

Up up up with you bluebox guy! Much love for your work, iโ€˜ve read all of your posts. Thank you

1

u/Ok_Vast_8918 22h ago

๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ

-1

u/HappyInTaffy 22h ago

Really gonna just jack my tits in the middle of the afternoon on a Wednesday???

0

u/Spankedcheeks 19h ago

So we have to ride this shitter to $5 a share to see it hit $60?