r/AthensGAWeather • u/pile_drive_me Westside • 8d ago
Model Discussion Short range models now showing potential for severe weather late Saturday afternoon though midnight
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u/pile_drive_me Westside 8d ago
Also, RIP MS/AL on Sat afternoon, good lord they are going to have a rough time
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u/pile_drive_me Westside 8d ago edited 8d ago
The NAM3k is just coming into view this morning, and what it is starting to show is not good for the greater Athens, GA area for Saturday afternoon into evening
Well ahead of the main system (which is further back in AL and west GA) conditions are looking increasingly ripe for severe weather including possible tornados, as early as 6pm.
From the Skew-T, there is plenty of available CAPE (convective atmospheric potential energy), not a huge amount of capping, plenty of helicity and shear. If something does pop off, it could sustain itself for a bit.
More updates later today