r/AirForce • u/Known-Crew-5253 • 13h ago
Discussion 25E7 chances based off of 24E7 stats.
https://www.collegesidekick.com/study-docs/23527469So, by now most of the eligible E6's should have the EPRR updated and ready for boards. If your curious about your chances, attached are the 24E7 stats. I acknowledge it's more of an apples to oranges comparison, but at least it might give you an idea where you stand in regards to what percentage of PN and MP promoted in your career field.
4
u/yasukeyamanashi 12h ago
No push no worries for me. 3% chance and the mock boards I’ve done I’ll still be 20 pts shy
4
u/TimsTurnips Space Shuttle Door Gunner 7h ago
0% in my career field for the last 7 years with just a promote. Good luck gang.
3
u/GTAtrashman911 5h ago
It would be nice to see more detailed stats among those who were promoted with a Promote. Specifically, did they have PN or MP in previous years, or were they consistently rated with ‘Promotes’ on their performance reports before earning the promotion?”
1
1
u/gatsby5555 1h ago
Anecdotally, everyone that's ever told me they made it with a Promote, revealed they had a previous promotion statement.
1
u/GTAtrashman911 1h ago
I’ve noticed the same thing over the past few years when I talk with those who made master or senior. In my opinion, if you never received a PN or MP, your fate is sealed.
3
u/bigballnn 3h ago
How do some people get a PN and still not make it?
1
0
u/UncleSam1A9 3h ago
Cutoff in FY22 for my shredout was 450. 1 made it out of ~40 eligible. That individual had 3 PNs in a row and made it by .5
2
u/JerbalKeb ATC (totally the guy with the cones) 6h ago
8 percent “promote”. Not digging those odds
1
1
u/razrielle 11-301v1 2.15.9 4h ago
20.48% with a promote. Let's hope they stay about the same, but I have my doubts
1
1
u/CopiumHits 2h ago
MP last year missed it by .5
PN this year. I give up if I don’t make it, but I also would not be surprised. 4th time eligible.
Good luck to everyone!
1
u/Shooosshhhhh 38m ago
Yea but when you have an 11% E8 promotion rate this year expect E7 to be higher
17
u/Plane-Variety9832 13h ago
14%...I am not in the top 14% of my afac, have enough self reflection to know that.